Abstract
Economic analysis of the application of CO₂-soluble surfactants in carbon dioxide enhanced oil recovery (CO₂-EOR) and carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) demonstrates that this technology not only improves reservoir technical performance but also offers significant potential to enhance the profitability of oil projects while reducing environmental costs. This study evaluated the major economic components, including capital expenditure (CAPEX), operational expenditure (OPEX), revenues generated from incremental oil production and carbon credits, engineering economic indicators, sensitivity analysis, and cost-reduction strategies. The results indicate that the project CAPEX is approximately USD 60 million, while the annual OPEX is approximately USD 13 million, primarily associated with CO₂ injection facilities, compressors, transmission pipelines, surfactant procurement, and gas compression operations. The economic assessment further reveals that the application of CO₂-soluble surfactants increases the oil recovery factor by 8%, generates 12 million barrels of incremental oil production, enables the geological storage of 5 million tonnes of CO₂, and produces total revenues of approximately USD 1.09 billion, consisting of USD 840 million from additional oil production and USD 250 million from carbon credits. Moreover, the key economic indicators—including a Net Present Value (NPV) of USD 320 million, an Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of 23%, a Benefit-to-Cost (B/C) ratio of 2.4, a payback period of 5.2 years, an incremental oil production cost of USD 14 per barrel, and a CO₂ storage cost of USD 22 per tonne—demonstrate the economic viability of this technology under the base-case scenario. Sensitivity analysis identified crude oil price, surfactant price, CO₂ supply and transportation costs, discount rate, incremental oil production, and carbon credit value as the most influential parameters affecting project profitability. Increasing the oil price from USD 50 to USD 90 per barrel raises the NPV from USD 95 million to USD 545 million and the IRR from 13% to 33%, whereas increases in surfactant or CO₂ costs reduce project profitability. Furthermore, the development of low-cost surfactants, the implementation of hybrid surfactant systems, surfactant recycling, optimization of injection concentration, intelligent reservoir management, and optimized injection pattern design can reduce operational costs by up to 18% while increasing the NPV by approximately 10%. Overall, the findings indicate that despite moderate increases in capital and operating expenditures, the application of CO₂-soluble surfactants represents a competitive approach for the development of carbonate reservoirs by increasing oil production, improving CO₂ utilization efficiency, reducing the cost of incremental oil production, generating additional revenue through carbon credits, and enhancing overall economic performance. Nevertheless, reducing surfactant production costs, developing stable carbon markets, conducting pilot-scale studies, and implementing intelligent reservoir management technologies remain essential prerequisites for improving the commercial viability and facilitating the large-scale industrial deployment of this technology in the future.
Keywords
CO₂-enhanced oil recovery (CO₂-EOR) CO₂-philic fluorine-free surfactants Economic evaluation Discounted cash flow (DCF) Net present value (NPV) Carbonate reservoirs Sensitivity analysisReferences
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